Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 104.022335 118.141766 133.698315 152.147180 173.477260 197.419889 226.409538
2026-01-11 82.854605 101.094274 122.855476 150.874833 186.200822 229.528261 287.104860
2026-01-18 72.249801 92.785905 118.730863 154.205552 201.896452 264.424349 353.654203
2026-01-25 63.499718 84.917419 113.236522 153.874196 211.434647 291.162267 411.910111
2026-02-01 57.438564 79.527612 109.903890 155.366511 222.785814 320.834752 477.483593
2026-02-08 51.362263 73.253734 104.387877 152.708906 227.289470 340.500418 530.164981
2026-02-15 47.381369 69.455472 101.845609 153.854844 237.211363 369.003102 600.089114
2026-02-22 44.148426 66.368967 99.927254 155.541336 247.874038 399.570051 677.339600
2026-03-01 40.144426 61.681265 95.031100 151.846100 249.142451 414.519455 729.291844
2026-03-08 36.827317 57.747428 90.908877 148.887584 251.129987 430.625947 785.193950
2026-03-15 34.248258 54.758158 88.006722 147.609673 255.745318 451.670782 853.074701
2026-03-22 33.089406 53.988246 88.670355 152.497473 271.823979 495.395480 971.693831
2026-03-29 31.355893 52.300841 87.959977 155.505169 286.038696 539.898726 1104.962824
2026-04-05 29.062101 49.467696 85.037578 154.239773 292.176382 569.997734 1214.637256
2026-04-12 27.705494 48.146466 84.650303 157.655643 307.918651 621.849265 1382.890143
2026-04-19 25.973106 45.977067 82.480578 157.316139 315.876789 658.354178 1522.635431
2026-04-26 24.651350 44.439799 81.330300 158.845720 327.916375 705.536909 1698.172905
2026-05-03 22.949389 42.034369 78.284720 156.121791 330.297653 731.075869 1823.774639
2026-05-10 21.844182 40.679041 77.160624 157.296311 341.531401 779.076266 2019.584738
2026-05-17 20.889302 39.534227 76.343966 159.024912 354.248782 832.666772 2243.139945
2026-05-24 19.465414 37.338030 73.189486 155.237481 353.364410 851.961428 2371.758312
2026-05-31 18.235443 35.440701 70.495241 152.205337 353.931462 875.120406 2517.508687
2026-06-07 17.261172 33.995614 68.633717 150.895675 358.631290 910.055336 2708.560274